Nation

Student investors: Buy or sell?

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BY Megan Hanson
PUBLISHED: 11/17/2008

Despite the current economic downturn, stocks are still moving, and part of that activity could be due to student investors.

Current data from the New York Stock Exchange shows that after a sharp drop in shares traded in August, the number of trades taking place each month has almost doubled, reaching a high point for 2008 activity in October.

Carlson School of Management finance professor Timothy Nantell said the current economic situation is ideal for “bottom feeders,” or groups of people with cash on hand who invest while they feel stocks are being sold for less than their real value.

Students, most of whom have a long time before they will need to call on their investments, are also in a unique position, Nantell said.

“If they have some extra money and they can let it ride for a while, it’s good because they have a long horizon,” he said.

University of Minnesota student investors Dan Rice and Bryant Ruffalo agree, and are putting more money into the stock market.

“There’s an old stock market saying: ‘At the time of ultimate pessimism, that’s when you should be buying stock,’ ” said Rice, a finance sophomore and president of the student Investment and Finance Organization.

That theory, which Rice called the “Warren Buffett philosophy,” has led Rice to beef up his investments recently.

“Lately, I’ve moved cash from my savings to my brokerage fund to buy stocks,” he said.

Ruffalo, a management information systems junior, has also put more money into his Roth IRA and 401k plan in the last month.

“I increased my investment by a large amount about a month ago because it was pretty cheap,” Ruffalo said.

For investors like Rice and Ruffalo, Nantell said now may be a good time to invest.

“People who have liquidity, or cash, and who have experience, at a time like this, they think it’s great,” Nantell said. “Whether they’ll be right or not, we’ll see.”

Nantell said there are currently two main theories on the economy. One is that stock prices are low because of a temporary crisis, and despite the cause it will soon go away and stock prices will go back up.

Nantell warns investors, however, about the second scenario, where the market is returning to normal after years of a long and favorable run that caused sloppy investing.

“If I knew the answer, I wouldn’t be sitting here,” he said. “No one knows the answer.”

Nantell said, however, that inexperienced investors need to be careful.

“If I was advising a student, I would say to find a professional manager,” he said. “Don’t do it on your own.”

Ruffalo and Rice, however, see the current times as a great opportunity for students to get involved, they said.

“Most students are viewing this as more of an opportunity than anything else,” Rice said. “If they had previous investments, I’m sure they lost money, but I think the majority of young people right now are putting more money into the market.”

Ruffalo agreed.

“If you have the money I would say now is a good time to buy,” he said. “It will go down in the immediate future, but eventually it will go back up and that’s when you make the money.”

3 Comments

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advising students to catch a

advising students to catch a falling knife? risky. this is the most simple-minded article ever.

where is the mention of the $62 trillion credit default swaps market, deleveraging, deflation, ponzi schemes, corruption, anti-transparency, looting and pillaging of public wealth, the nation's national deficit, volatile currencies and commodities, credit card defaults, mass job cuts, mass bankruptcies & takeovers, the 800-lb gorillas known as social security and medicare, bank runs, cash hoarding, libor rates, hedge fund collapses, real estate busts, and government budget problems?

oh forget that stuff, now is the time to buy stocks! I recommend GM, ford, all of the airlines, and the newspaper industries. everything is going up! it's time to get greedy and buy!

idiots.

I'd say buying right now isn't as imprudent as the first comment

"where is the mention of the $62 trillion credit default swaps market, deleveraging, deflation, ponzi schemes, corruption, anti-transparency, looting and pillaging of public wealth, the nation's national deficit, volatile currencies and commodities, credit card defaults, mass job cuts, mass bankruptcies & takeovers, the 800-lb gorillas known as social security and medicare, bank runs, cash hoarding, libor rates, hedge fund collapses, real estate busts, and government budget problems?"

That can be tough to cover in a 300-word story.

I'm planning on buying everything I can when the Dow drops to around 6,000 in January. Let's judge investing from the worst possible scenario: capitalism completely fails, and we enter the worst Depression the world has seen. I don't rul this out because I think many of your points are valid, esp. the $62 trillion credit default swaps bubble. Couple that with the fact that only about 8% of mortgage-holders have defaulted yet and the future looks grim. But like I said, I'm going to invest - why? Well...if I buy low and sell high in 2020, I'll probably turn 300%+, if I buy low and the sky falls, what have I lost? Nothing. No one has money then. No one. I don't see at as catching a falling knife, but 100 lbs. of gold. It could hurt, but I'll likely survive, and once I recover I've got an extra 100 lb. of gold :). What's a knife worth? Buy low sell high, I trust Buffett. If Buffett ends up poor too, I guess there's nothing I could have done to save my money. Uncertainty, most likely only temporary, deflates the market. You can profit on uncertainty and pessimism, they aren't permanent. That's what Buffet meant when he said buy at the point of ultimate pessimism, and he's had moderate success.

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